Weekly Outlook
Australian Petrol Price
Market Pulse
Tuesday 24 March 2026 · Unleaded 91 · Based on oil markets, AUD/USD, and price cycle analysis
This week's market signals
Brent Crude
US$101.79
per barrel
Singapore MOGAS tracks Brent with ~1 week lag
AUD/USD
0.6972
exchange rate
A lower AUD raises imported fuel costs
Import Parity
165.7
cents per litre
Estimated wholesale cost before excise and GST
City-by-city outlook
Canberra
Highermedium confidenceThe cost of importing petrol is up 8% — crude oil has risen 11% recently and the Australian dollar has weakened against the USD. Both factors increase what retailers pay before they set prices at the pump. Even at the next price cycle low, expect to pay more than last month's low. If your tank allows, fill up a little more than usual now.
Sydney
Highermedium confidenceThe cost of importing petrol is up 8% — crude oil has risen 11% recently and the Australian dollar has weakened against the USD. Both factors increase what retailers pay before they set prices at the pump. Even at the next price cycle low, expect to pay more than last month's low. If your tank allows, fill up a little more than usual now.
Past updates
How this update is generated
Each day at 18:00 AEST, PetrolPulse fetches the latest Brent crude spot price and AUD/USD exchange rate. These are combined using the standard Singapore MOPS import parity formula to estimate the current wholesale cost of fuel delivered to Australian terminals.
When the import parity estimate moves significantly - up or down - relative to current retail prices and the 60-day average retail margin, the forecast direction and confidence level for each city are updated automatically.
This is different from how other Australian fuel apps forecast prices. They extrapolate the local price cycle forward based on historical pattern recognition. PetrolPulse overlays forward-looking market signals on top of cycle analysis, so you get earlier warning of unusual price movements.